The Free Press, Mankato, MN


April 28, 2013

Thoma column: Is Correia for real? Still a doubter



That improvement may actually be sustainable; the Twins have a long track record of pitchers improving their control records. Carl Pavano, Carlos Silva, Johan Santana — not that any of them were wild when pitching for other teams, bu they all walked fewer men working for Ron Gardenhire and Rick Anderson than they did with other pitching coaches and managers.

What probably isn’t sustainable for Correia is his double-play support — and the lack of home runs allowed.

Entering Sunday, according to, Correia had had 12 double-play opportunities — a runner on first with less than two out. He had generated five double plays, a 42 percent rate.

The major league average is 11 percent; Correia’s career average is 10 percent.

It’s not that Correia’s getting an abnormal amount of ground balls in total; his groundball rate is now and over his career roughly the major league average. It’s that he has been getting his grounders at just the right time.

He has allowed two homers. Entering Sunday, just 4.7 percent of the fly balls he allowed left the yard, a percentage that obviously declined Sunday, Here, too, his career rate is a close fit to the major league average of 7.7 percent.

His early season results are probably not based on true skills. If and when his double plays dry up and a few more of the fly balls carry over the fences, the ERA will deteriorate as well.

Edward Thoma (344-6377; maintains his Baseball Outsider blog at Follow him on Twitter @bboutsider. 

Text Only | Photo Reprints

Latest auto racing news
Featured Ads
Live Moondogs coverage
Shane Frederick's Twitter updates
Chad Courrier's Sports Report
Latest NCAA basketball news
Hyperlocal Search
Premier Guide
Find a business

Walking Fingers
Maps, Menus, Store hours, Coupons, and more...
Premier Guide
NDN Video
Reaction to Ray Rice's comments How the MLB Trade Deadline Will Affect the Postseason Recapping a Blockbuster MLB Trade Deadline Marshawn Lynch Ends Holdout - @TheBuzzeronFOX Dombrowski on bringing David Price to Detroit Morosi: Tigers pick up Price from Rays Rice intends to become advocate of domestic violence with wife Janay when time is right Ray Rice issues apology for his part in a domestic violence incident A's Acquire Lester, Gomes For Cespedes Price on dealing with trade rumors Arian Foster Answers Questions With Same Boring Answer - @TheBuzzeronFox Pitch Invading Morons Cause Chaos - @TheBuzzeronFOX Cardinals make Peterson highest paid CB Tiger Woods: 1 on 1 Stephen A. Smith -- I Accept ESPN Suspension ... 'It Was My Mistake' Oakland Raiders To Become San Antonio Raiders? - @TheBuzzeronFox Byron Scott: 'This is still a Lakers town' Jack White throws first pitch for hometown Tigers LeSean McCoy explains how Chip Kelly has helped his productivity Chicago Cubs win longest game in team history